Economic Indicators that Affect the Housing Market
Understanding the broader economy is essential for anyone navigating the housing market. In addition to tracking building permits, unemployment rates, and average hourly earnings, several other economic indicators can offer valuable insights. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reflects the overall health of the economy—a growing GDP signals strength, which can boost consumer confidence and housing demand. The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) measures how optimistic people feel about their financial situations; high confidence usually translates into increased home-buying activity. Inflation rates and interest rates also play crucial roles—rising inflation can reduce purchasing power, while higher interest rates make mortgages more expensive, potentially cooling the market.
Other indicators like housing starts and the Home Price Index (HPI) track new construction and home value trends, respectively. Additionally, retail sales and job growth data provide clues about consumer spending and employment stability, both of which directly affect the housing market. Even stock market performance can influence the market by impacting consumer wealth and confidence. By keeping an eye on these indicators, both buyers and sellers can better anticipate market shifts, ensuring more informed and strategic decisions in the ever-changing housing landscape.
Single Family Authorized Housing Permits DFW Metro
Unemployment Rate DFW Metro
Average Hourly Earnings DFW Metro
S&P Case-Schiller Home Price Index Dallas
Consumer Confidence Indicator University of Michigan
Median Consumer Price Index (Core Inflation)
30 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average in U.S.
Mortgages More than 90 Days Past Due All U.S.
Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
DFW Housing Shortage Tracker
The visual from the National Association of Realtors shows the ratio of building permits issued for each new job in different metropolitan areas. This ratio is important because it reflects the balance between housing supply and demand. If there are not enough homes (a negative reading), prices will likely go up as demand increases. Conversely, if there are too many homes available for the number of new jobs, prices may stay stable. The measure can also focus on "Single" permits for single-family homes or total permits, which includes apartments as well.
This visual is best viewed on a laptop or desktop PC.